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Water Securitization

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The Nile as a test of environmental politics, perception, and restraint in the 21st century

Key Takeaways:- Conflict is Driven by Politics, Not Just Scarcity: The risk of war on the Nile stems less from physical water shortages than from political insecurity and perception. Water scarcity acts as a "threat multiplier" that amplifies existing tensions, making the conflict structural rather than purely hydrological. - Coordination is Insufficient for Long-Term Peace: While technical committees and d...

By Yodit Balcha [Climate Change Research Officer II, CIAT]
December 16, 2025
Water and Conflict in the Indus Water Basin

Key Takeaways:- Treaty Suspension as a Turning Point: India’s suspension of the Indus Water Treaty (IWT) following a terrorist attack highlights how water, while rarely a direct cause of war, acts as a "threat multiplier" in politically fragile regions. The move underscores the treaty's vulnerability to broader geopolitical tensions. - An Obsolete Framework: The 1960 agreement is increasingly viewed as outdate...

By Ambika Vishwanath [Director, Kubernein Initiative]
December 16, 2025
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